The S&P 500 (^GSPC) hit a record high last week as inflation data hinted at possible Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2025.
๐น Weekly Market Performance:
โ Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC): +2.5%
โ S&P 500 (^GSPC): +1.5%
โ Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI): +0.5%
๐น Key Events to Watch This Week
๐ฐ Earnings Reports: Major releases from Walmart (WMT), Alibaba (BABA), and Carvana (CVNA) will take center stage, along with results from 46 S&P 500 companies in a holiday-shortened week (markets closed Monday for Presidentsโ Day).
๐ Federal Reserve Minutes (Wednesday, 2 p.m. ET): Investors will be analyzing the Fedโs January meeting minutes for hints on future interest rate moves.
๐ Housing & Economic Data: Key reports include housing starts, mortgage applications, jobless claims, and consumer sentiment data.
๐น Inflation & Rate Cut Outlook
Despite higher-than-expected CPI and PPI readings for January, economists predict that the Fedโs preferred inflation gauge (PCE) will show a decline to 2.6% (from 2.8% in December). Markets remain confident in one or two Fed rate cuts this year.
๐ธ Morgan Stanleyโs Michael Gapen: โThe bar for Fed hikes remains high. The distribution of policy outcomes still leans toward rate cuts.โ
๐น AI & Broader Market Rally
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More stocks are driving the S&P 500โs gains, not just tech giants like Meta (META) and Amazon (AMZN).
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AI stocks surge: Palantir (PLTR) +55% YTD, Super Micro Computer (SMCI) +50%.
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Nvidiaโs (NVDA) investment moves impact smaller AI players.
๐ With Fed minutes, corporate earnings, and economic updates ahead, will the market continue its record-setting run? ๐